Tag: Prediction Markets
Decentralized prediction markets are blockchain-based exchange protocols used for forecasting event outcomes through collective intelligence and incentive-aligned smart contracts. This taxonomy covers decentralized forecasting platforms, automated market makers (AMMs), and trustless probability discovery mechanisms in the Web3 ecosystem.
When Infrastructure Meets Momentum
Last March, prediction markets exploded to 191 million transactions — a staggering 2,838% jump year-over-year — with Polymarket driving the lion’s share of the action. Billions of dollars moved on real-world outcomes: the next NBA champion, geopolitical flashpoints, blockbuster movie openings, and even Bitcoin’s daily price swings. Not through a traditional sportsbook or Wall Street desk, but onchain, on...
Trump’s 5-Day Iran Strike Pause Just Flipped the Market Script—Prediction Markets Priced It First
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A Pause Heard Around the Blockchain
On March 23, 2026, President Donald Trump posted on Truth Social: he had instructed the Department of War to postpone any strikes on Iranian power plants and energy infrastructure for five days. The move followed what he called “very good and productive conversations” with Tehran over the Strait of Hormuz. Markets had been on edge for weeks—oil prices volatile, risk assets under pressure. But within...



