- SEC Stalled: Over 90% of staff furloughed, halting ETF decisions like Canary Capital’s Litecoin fund.
- Affected Assets: Solana, Litecoin, XRP, and others face indefinite delays on spot ETF launches.
- Market Reaction: Bitcoin surges past $120K as investors seek safe havens amid fiscal uncertainty.
- Outlook: New generic listing standards could fast-track approvals post-shutdown, per Bloomberg analysts.
The US government’s partial shutdown, triggered by a funding impasse on October 1, 2025, has rippled into the cryptocurrency sector, freezing regulatory progress on a slew of pending exchange-traded funds (ETFs). With the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) operating at under 10% capacity—furloughing over 90% of its workforce—the agency missed a key deadline for Canary Capital’s spot Litecoin ETF on October 2.
This marks the first major federal shutdown since 2019, affecting approximately 800,000 federal workers and stalling economic data releases like the nonfarm payrolls report. For crypto, the immediate casualty is the approval pipeline: over 90 ETF filings, including proposals for Solana (SOL) from Bitwise and 21Shares, and Litecoin (LTC) from Canary, now languish in regulatory limbo.
Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan underscored the freeze, stating, “If the government shuts down, nothing will get approved.” The halt extends beyond ETFs to enforcement actions and guidance on digital assets, potentially delaying the broader crypto market structure bill in the Senate. Community sentiment on X echoes frustration, with traders like @kyledoops noting, “Shutdown = SEC skeleton crew… the whole crypto ETF queue slows down too.”
Yet, silver linings emerge. Recent SEC rule changes under Rule 6c-11 introduce “generic” listing standards for crypto ETFs, rendering old 19b-4 deadlines obsolete and paving the way for faster approvals once operations resume. Bloomberg ETF analysts peg approval odds at 70-80% by year-end for funds like Litecoin, citing surging demand—Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs already hold $74.7 billion in assets.
Markets, undeterred, have rallied: Bitcoin topped $120,000 on October 3, up 5% since the shutdown began, as investors bet on fiscal stimulus post-resolution. Prediction markets like Polymarket forecast the shutdown lasting until mid-October, averaging 8-10 days historically. Risks persist, however—prolonged closure could dampen liquidity and delay Federal Reserve signals, pressuring altcoins more than Bitcoin.
For issuers, the pause is a double-edged sword: it buys time for refinements but heightens uncertainty in a volatile October dubbed “Uptober.” As one X analyst quipped, the shutdown provides a “perfect excuse to stall every crypto ETF”—convenient timing indeed. Investors should monitor congressional negotiations closely, as resolution could unleash a wave of approvals under the new framework.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute advice of any kind. Readers should conduct their own research before making any decisions.
© Cryptopress. For informational purposes only, not offered as advice of any kind.
