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Hyperliquid moves into prediction markets with HIP-4 ‘Outcome Trading’

Hyperliquid has announced HIP-4, a protocol upgrade that brings fully collateralized outcome trading to the HyperCore engine, eliminating liquidation risks.

By CryptoPress
February 3, 2026

  • Hyperliquid is introducing
    “Outcome Trading” through the HIP-4 upgrade, which is
    currently active on the protocol’s testnet.
  • The new primitive
    supports fully collateralized contracts for prediction
    markets and bounded options without the need for leverage or the risk of
    liquidations.
  • Markets will be denominated in the native
    USDH stablecoin and utilize the HyperCore
    engine for high-performance settlement.

Hyperliquid, the decentralized
derivatives powerhouse, is broadening its financial reach with the debut of
Outcome Trading via the HIP-4
(Hyperliquid Improvement Proposal 4) upgrade. Announced on Monday, the new
feature allows the protocol’s core engine, HyperCore, to
support range-settled contracts designed specifically for prediction
markets and bounded, options-like instruments.

The introduction of
Outcome Trading marks a significant architectural shift
from the platform’s primary focus on perpetual futures. These new contracts
are fully collateralized, meaning they settle within a
predefined range and carry no risk of margin calls or forced liquidations.
By removing leverage from the equation, Hyperliquid aims to provide a lower-risk
environment for event-based trading, a sector that has seen explosive
growth and regulatory attention over the past year.

According to
the development team, the new primitive is designed to enhance the
“expressivity” of the Hyperliquid Layer 1 blockchain. “The outcome
primitive expands the expressivity of HyperCore, while composing with other
primitives such as portfolio margin and the HyperEVM,” the
team noted. The feature is currently undergoing testing on the
testnet, with plans to launch canonical markets once
technical stability and user feedback have been integrated.

Initial
mainnet deployments will focus on standardized markets
derived from objective settlement sources, all denominated in
USDH, Hyperliquid’s native stablecoin. Over time, the
protocol intends to transition the infrastructure toward
permissionless deployment, mirroring the success of the
HIP-3 framework which allowed users to create custom
perpetual markets. This evolution follows a period of record activity for
the exchange, which recently saw its total open interest surpass $4.9
billion amid growing demand for on-chain assets.

Market reaction to
the announcement was swift, with the protocol’s native
HYPE token rising more than 10% to
surpass the $32 mark. Investors are increasingly viewing Hyperliquid not
just as a decentralized exchange, but as a foundational Layer
1
stack capable of hosting complex DeFi
applications. The addition of dated, non-linear contracts further
distinguishes the network from its competitors by integrating prediction
market capabilities directly into its high-speed settlement
layer.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes
only and does not constitute advice of any kind. Readers should conduct
their own research before making any decisions.

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